Saturday, June 9, 2007

Belmont selections

The time has come to settle on a horse for the Belmont. In this race, it would be hard to call it a real shock if any of them were to win. All have solid credentials with graded stakes wins and wins over top company. What was once considered a so-so Belmont at best once Street Sense backed out has become quite an intriguing race as post time nears.
From a storyline standpoint, Rags to Riches presents the best opportunity to write a compelling race story. She would do something no horse has done in just about anyone's lifetime.
Hard Spun deserves a big victory and has the talent to do so, and he'll be able to moderate the pace from his normal out-front spot.
Tiago and Imawildandcrazy guy can both come flying at the end, Slew's Tizzy has won two stakes in a row and C.P. West surprised many people (myself included) with his performance in the Preakness.
All that said, the fact that you can go any which way in this race means I'll stick with the morning-line favorite, Curlin. While I'll try to find some value in my betting, Curlin is my choice to win, no matter what he goes off at. He proved in the Derby he can handle some struggles and run well, then looked fantastic coming back on Street Sense in the Preakness. My thought is that Hard Spun will jump out a bit on the field early, set a modest pace, then get challenged by Curlin and Rags to Riches rounding the far turn. Curlin's power will be displayed as the field straightens out and he'll pick up his second Triple Crown jewel.
Should that happen, it makes for quite the showdown with Street Sense in the Travers at Saratoga.
My choices: Curlin, Hard Spun, Tiago

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